The Times, They Are A-Changin’

Is your time valuable? Is it worth saving?

“If your time to you
Is worth savin’
Then you better start swimmin’
Or you’ll sink like a stone”

– Bob Dylan, “The Times They Are a-Changin'”

Bob Dylan wrote those words in 1964, and the point he was making was certainly more existential than the need for lenders to focus on operating at their highest and best use. That said, it doesn’t prevent us from using it as a poetic jumping-off point for what is happening in the world of residential lending.

For 25 years, the de minimis loan amount over which banks are required to order a residential appraisal has been frozen at $250,000. Over that time, the average home price has more than doubled, rising from $156,100 in Q4 of 1994 to $377,000 as of Q1 2019. While long overdue, the de minimis amount is proposed to increase to $400,000. This will result in an estimated  nearly 30% increase in mortgage originations that will be exempt from the appraisal requirement. Add HELOCs, second mortgages, and loan renewals, and the numbers are staggering.

On the mortgage company side of the equation, the GSEs have started talking openly about their long-running pilot program testing a bifurcated appraisal process. For those not familiar, this means one person will complete the property inspection and another, unrelated person will complete the property valuation. Furthermore, the GSE has the option of waiving the property valuation portion entirely and relying on the inspection report and their own internal valuation.

Without getting too deep in the weeds on these changes, the consequences for lenders (and appraisers, for that matter) of all types are monumental.

Banks and credit unions typically – and rightly – focus on their processes for appraisals more heavily than for their evaluations. These lenders are also much more likely to handle evaluations in-house rather than using an outside vendor to manage the process for them. How likely is it that these processes can withstand the added pressure applied by an almost 30% increase in demand? Even if they can, how much staff time will be devoted to this to the exclusion of generating new business and supporting more complex commercial loans?

For mortgage companies, the impact is in the form of having to now manage not one, but two processes and sets of vendors – one for residential inspections and one for residential valuations. Not only that, but it will be vital to be up and running quickly so as not to lose ground to competitors who are able to take advantage of the faster, less expensive process.

Whether you’re on the bank/credit union side or the mortgage company side, not only are Dylan’s questions about the value of your time worth considering, but so is his warning:

“…Then you better start swimmin’
Or you’ll sink like a stone”

The good news is you don’t have to swim alone. EVP has the solutions to get your time back so you can operate at your highest and best use, which is not managing evaluations or vetting new processes and inspectors.

For banks and credit unions, EVP-Eval is the industry’s first solution to utilize not only a homeowner-performed inspection (using our proprietary inspection app), but also to provide you with an appraiser-certified evaluation.

For mortgage companies (and all other lenders as well), EVP has been sourcing appraisals for clients under the bifurcated model for years. Now that the GSEs have caught up with us, it only makes sense for you to take advantage of our experience and get ahead of your competition.

We plan ahead so we can make our clients’ lives easier. Contact us today to see the future of property valuation.

The De Minimis Change is No Small Matter

Is your bank ready to handle a 30% increase in residential property evaluations? According to the OCC, Board, and FDIC (collectively, the Agencies), that’s roughly how many more there will be if their proposed increase in the de minimis loan amount from $250,000 to $400,000 takes effect.

Before you answer, however, there are two key questions to consider:

  1. Will handling the increase result in all of your staff operating at their highest and best use?
  2. Is your current system already in need of an update due to compliance concerns?

Highest and Best Use

This is a term of great import in property valuations. It essentially means that the best use of a property is that which will result in the highest value for the property. The term, however, certainly has implications as a general economic theory.

For example, is making site visits for transactions that fall under the de minimis threshold the highest and best use of your production staff? Might their time be better allocated toward producing new business? What about your appraisal staff? Might their time be better allocated to larger residential loans and more complex commercial transactions?

Our research shows that lenders spend a minimum of five hours on a single evaluation. Calculate the hourly wage for all the people who touch the transaction over that time, and all of a sudden the no-cost internal evaluation process gets very expensive.

Compliance

There are two passages in the ABA’s response to the proposed increase that I believe are worth considering First:

ABA believes that the first priority that must be considered is the continued protection of banks by the implementation of strong risk management practices.

Note that they said “the first priority.” But that’s not all. They go on to say that increasing the de minimis threshold

“…would be accompanied by the required implantation of effective risk-control measures by depository institutions.”

Webster’s defines implantation as “establish and set permanent / to set permanently in the consciousness or habit patterns.”

I see these two comments together as a warning that this is not business as usual and that current controls across the industry are inadequate. Your advocate is telling your regulators that their members – you – have weaknesses in evaluation production and control structure. How likely is it that the regulators are going to overlook those weaknesses versus making sure those holes are plugged?

So what are those holes in current evaluation processes? The first and easiest to fix is that some institutions are simply not doing them. Second, some are still relying on realtor estimates and tax values. Third, there isn’t clear separation between production staff and the people doing the evaluations. Fourth, and the one that is sure to ruffle the most feathers, is the use of AVMs.

Let me start by saying that I am not declaring AVMs to be noncompliant. I am, however, saying the industry needs to take a hard look at whether or not they are.

Let’s start with another excerpt from the ABA’s response:

When institutions decide to forego obtaining an appraisal by state-certified or licensed appraisers, the rule would require that institutions obtain an evaluation of the real property collateral that is consistent with safe and sound banking practices.

So what qualifies as “safe and sound banking practice” when it comes to evaluations? According to the Interagency Appraisal and Evaluation Guidelines (IAG):

“It would not be acceptable for an institution to base an evaluation on unsupported assumptions, such as a property is in “average” condition…”

And here, in Appendix B dealing specifically with the use of AVMs:

“…the results of an AVM would need to address a property’s actual physical condition, and therefore, could not be based on an unsupported assumption, such as a property is in “average” condition.”

It is certainly possible that an AVM exists that takes into account and makes adjustments for “a property’s actual physical condition.”

Does yours?

If so, you’ve found something I’ve been unable to find. If not, and you haven’t had any issues with compliance, are you confident that will continue to be the case moving forward?

Regardless of the method you currently use to perform or obtain residential evaluations, there are causes for concern as the demand for them expands. If you want to take a look at other options, we would love to talk to you about EVP-Evals. It combines a first-of-its-kind inspection app to allow the homeowner to complete the inspection with an actual property appraisal. For $99.